Your Weekly 411: Toronto New Home Sales Hits Record Low | Alberta Sees 54% Surge in New Home Construction | BMO Expects $906 Million in Losses from Mortgages


The Weekly 411:

Today we're covering

๐Ÿ“‰ Toronto New Home Sales Plummet to Record Low

๐Ÿšง Alberta Sees 54% Surge in New Home Construction

๐Ÿ’ธ BMO Expects $906 Million in Losses from Mortgages

๐Ÿ›‘ No More Canadian Work Permits for Visitors

๐Ÿ Canada Launches Public Land Bank

๐Ÿค” WTF of The Week

Read Time: 4 minutes


๐Ÿ“‰ Toronto New Home Sales Plummet to Record Low

  • New home sales in the Toronto area hit a record low for July, down 70% below the 10-year average.
  • There are now 15 months of inventory on the market due to declining sales.
  • Condominium apartment sales were down 67% from July 2023 and 81% below the 10-year average.
  • Single-family home sales were down 1% from last year and 42% below the 10-year average.
  • Industry experts warn of a potential future housing shortage due to the current slowdown in construction.

๐Ÿšง Alberta Sees Surge in New Home Construction

  • Alberta had 21,000 housing starts in the first six months of 2024, a 54% increase compared to last year and a record pace.
  • Calgary had 11,178 housing starts, a 38% increase compared to last year.
  • Edmonton had 8,448 housing starts, a 67% increase compared to last year.
  • Single detached homes, row housing, and multi-family projects are included in the Alberta numbers.

๐Ÿ’ธ BMO Expects $906 Million in Losses from Mortgages

  • Growing financial strain on borrowers leads to increased provisions for credit losses with BMO setting aside 84% more than last year
  • 90+ day delinquencies in mortgage portfolio rise to 0.24%

Mortgage Portfolio

  • 32% of variable-rate mortgages are still in negative amortization, down from the 62% peak, with $15.1 billion worth of mortgages.
  • 14% of mortgage balances ($22.6 billion) to renew in the next 12 months, with another 70% of the mortgage portfolio up for renewal after fiscal 2025.
  • Remaining amortizations for BMO residential mortgages:
    • 16-20 years: 14.6%
    • 21-25 years: 32.4%
    • 26-30 years: 22.3%
    • 30 years and more: 20.9%

๐Ÿ›‘ No More Canadian Work Permits for Visitors

  • As of August 28, 2024, visitors in Canada can no longer apply for work permits from within the country.
  • IRCC states the policy was being misused by "bad actors" to mislead foreign nationals into unauthorized work.
  • This change is part of broader efforts to combat immigration fraud and reduce temporary resident levels
  • Other recent changes include:
    • Pausing some Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA) applications for low-wage stream workers in areas with high unemployment.
    • Restricting employers to hiring only 10% of their workforce through the Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP).
    • Reducing the maximum employment term for low-wage stream workers from 2 years to 1.

Why This Matters: This policy change could reduce the number of temporary workers staying in Canada, potentially impacting rental demand in certain markets. It may lead to shorter-term rentals as visitors might not be able to extend their stay through work permits.

๐Ÿ Canada Launches a 'Land Bank' for Builders

  • This tool connects builders with federal properties available for lease.
  • Builders can submit plans to convert existing facilities on these properties into housing.
  • Currently, the Canada Public Land Bank features 56 federal properties.
  • This initiative addresses Canada's housing shortage by utilizing existing federal land assets.

Check out the tool here --> Canada Public Land Bank.โ€‹

๐Ÿค” WTF of The Week

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